Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4b1d0cffd2495b094a34c295312deb9cde1239f7e6a6d7e67fda2c9b99da1eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, Evil Geniuses Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 79c | 2,004$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.79 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 21c | 1,492$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 1,241$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 1,238$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.03 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 32c | 999.51$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 3c | 890$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 17c | 799.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 570.49$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 32c | 526.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 514.9$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 14c | 475.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 38c | 456.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 455.75$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 16c | 399.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 399$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.34 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 363.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 46c | 362.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 329.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 302.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 20c | 300.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 274.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 272.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 37c | 266.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 36c | 255$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 236.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 231$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 221.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 212.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 57c | 209.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 79c | 202$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 189.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 56c | 161$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…7400backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 31c | 158.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 148$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…c1bdbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 143.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 104.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 62c | 101.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 100.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 99.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 97.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 88.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 81.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 17c | 78.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 70.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 63.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 62.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 21c | 62.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 50.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…37e3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 49.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 40.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 36c | 36.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…4eaabacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 57c | 26.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…6c14backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 80c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses Academy (+1.5)Evil Geniuses Academy won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.