Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e891f76f92c5c82676c22c9aebff459651fa6a7244fb9c772cc523efea6ba56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN Freecsof KT Rolster, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4592…49b6backed KT Rolster | 45c | 3,791$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked DN Freecs | 55c | 3,791$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed KT Rolster | 43c | 3,410$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed DN Freecs | 57c | 3,410$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked DN Freecs | 55c | 1,822$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed KT Rolster | 45c | 1,822$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed DN Freecs | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed KT Rolster | 43c | 694.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed KT Rolster | 43c | 525.58$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed DN Freecs | 54c | 383.22$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed KT Rolster | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed KT Rolster | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…2da4backed DN Freecs | 58c | 192.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DN Freecs | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN Freecs | 56c | 143.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked KT Rolster | 42c | 140.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed KT Rolster | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked DN Freecs | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed KT Rolster | 45c | 83.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed KT Rolster | 44c | 69.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked KT Rolster | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DN Freecs | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked KT Rolster | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed DN Freecs | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed DN Freecs | 56c | 46.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed KT Rolster | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked KT Rolster | 44c | 30.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed DN Freecs | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…058ebacked KT Rolster | 53c | 29.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…4452backed DN Freecs | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +143%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed DN Freecs | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked DN Freecs | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?KT Rolster won
- First Blood in Game 2?KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-InDN Freecs won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerDN Freecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.