NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2fb8fa3806040864a2c49e5f4881c881862ef47d0e79b939d9c9cc405b5c31e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed Under | 53c | 8,677$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Over | 47c | 3,736$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Under | 53c | 3,736$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 3,691$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.75 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,522$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 3,136$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Over | 47c | 2,271$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Over | 47c | 2,145$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Over | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Over | 47c | 2,024$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Under | 53c | 2,024$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Over | 47c | 2,005$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Over | 47c | 1,912$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Under | 53c | 1,912$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,436$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Over | 45c | 1,309$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 1c | 1,236$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.99 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Over | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 45c | 821$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.45 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 694.21$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 651.12$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…bd47backed Over | 44c | 606$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 556.01$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Under | 54c | 440$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 319.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8908…ea9abacked Under | 56c | 313$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Over | 33c | 310.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…6ddbbacked Under | 56c | 186$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 45c | 136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 45c | 134$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 124.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0d…659dbacked Under | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 86.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 55c | 43.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 28.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…3b9dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.