NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb91cdaa28afe36134765f1f57702c1c2fb1a27fe83e15fa0bc6cc9028ed0cc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Timberwolves, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Clippers | 46c | 99,318$45,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,777.54 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 54c | 85,004$45,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,902.35 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Clippers | 50c | 6,930$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.06 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 6,473$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,904$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,256$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.3 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 51c | 1,777$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 55c | 678$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.9 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Clippers | 47c | 660.4$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 595.8$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 52c | 564.62$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 538.68$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.05 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Timberwolves | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Clippers | 47c | 499.74$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.86 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 497.02$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Clippers | 43c | 395.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 317.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers | 43c | 305.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 267.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Timberwolves | 50c | 257$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clippers | 52c | 236.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Timberwolves | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Timberwolves | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers | 50c | 147$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Timberwolves | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 51c | 138$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 135.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Clippers | 44c | 99.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked Timberwolves | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Timberwolves | 48c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Timberwolves | 54c | 76.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Timberwolves | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…e955backed Timberwolves | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…5cfabacked Clippers | 47c | 59.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…b580backed Timberwolves | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Timberwolves | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 51c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Timberwolves | 50c | 50.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Clippers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 44.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…0e2abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 40.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…44f6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 35.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers | 51c | 24.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Clippers | 47c | 23.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Clippers | 54c | 23.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Clippers | 45c | 22.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Timberwolves | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.