NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2921ab5c9c82d8288f2815584f1db371d6f0ec3d7279d9d063f64e0b108a3920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 6,727$4,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 31c | 5,648$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Clippers | 32c | 1,256$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.24 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 27c | 926$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.98 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 493.51$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Timberwolves | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Timberwolves | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Timberwolves | 54c | 66.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Timberwolves | 61c | 65.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…7a23backed Timberwolves | 53c | 52.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e6…a14dbacked Clippers | 31c | 50.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…48a0backed Timberwolves | 72c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Timberwolves | 30c | 40.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Clippers | 45c | 30.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…78dfbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…db85backed Timberwolves | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf1…8594backed Timberwolves | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…ceadbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f91…a01fbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…098ebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…d26ebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Timberwolves | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…b717backed Timberwolves | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f99…0a7cbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…b022backed Timberwolves | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.