NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d74bc2a39bc5e28a703107bfde2d3ca6f252fe1271ed225833f363a7d47acc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Over | 47c | 30,000$14,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,062.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 11,799$6,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 11,306$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 50c | 6,365$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.84 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.67 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 3,492$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 3,420$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 3,373$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.31 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 4c | 3,306$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 2,868$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 46c | 1,605$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.3 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 50c | 1,151$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.52 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 706.57$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 51c | 319.4$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 73c | 220.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 48c | 127.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 50c | 121.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…b9a6backed Over | 48c | 109.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 47c | 89.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 47c | 81.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 16c | 80.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 60.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 56.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 54c | 51.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 42.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 78c | 39.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 48c | 35.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Under | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Under | 50c | 22.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.