TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,955 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c448$293 inWon+$154.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Over46c393.82$180 inLost-$180.046741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over41c365.85$150 inLost-$1502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over35c187.17$66 inLost-$65.571,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under65c171.15$111 inWon+$60.151,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Over36c119$43 inLost-$42.848450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over38c111$42 inLost-$42.1810143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over35c99.95$35 inLost-$34.9835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under65c86.15$56 inWon+$30.1549358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under54c81.76$44 inWon+$37.6119135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over38c72.48$27 inLost-$27.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under61c60.47$37 inWon+$23.4820762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over31c57.97$18 inLost-$17.973,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under69c57.97$40 inWon+$17.9733258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over37c38$14 inLost-$14.069360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Under62c36$22 inWon+$13.682965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe22a…848dbacked Under64c32$20 inWon+$11.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Under64c31$20 inWon+$11.162450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Under62c29$18 inWon+$11.023551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Under63c28$18 inWon+$10.363658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Under62c25$16 inWon+$9.54353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over40c25$10 inLost-$1052240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Under64c22$14 inWon+$7.924047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Under62c21$13 inWon+$7.983151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Under64c17$11 inWon+$6.123171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Under64c17$11 inWon+$6.122437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.