NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a2062fcbcf9db53e123bb79b5524d41a90b44336f47d34aa498406c979054a

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Clippersof Timberwolves, Clippers
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $227,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $254,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,261 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Clippers	48c	50,095$24,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,818.4	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Timberwolves	52c	30,061$15,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,768.64	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Clippers	47c	26,092$12,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,828.63	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves	51c	20,509$10,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,459.42	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves	52c	16,857$8,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,690.72	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers	48c	14,187$6,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,377.16	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	52c	10,506$5,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,463.35	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Clippers	49c	10,000$4,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,079.99	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f9…54dabacked Timberwolves	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers	48c	6,651$3,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,468.56	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Clippers	48c	6,010$2,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,125.24	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	50c	5,657$2,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,812.88	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Timberwolves	51c	5,283$2,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,694.3	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Clippers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves	51c	3,880$1,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,978.55	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves	52c	2,308$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Timberwolves	52c	2,265$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Clippers	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers	48c	1,679$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.75	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers	68c	1,612$1,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.08	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers	48c	1,580$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.85	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers	49c	1,418$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.18	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves	31c	1,367$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.82	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers	49c	1,366$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.68	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves	50c	1,200$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers	51c	1,100$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.15	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers	47c	1,064$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.82	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves	50c	1,043$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.08	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Clippers	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Clippers	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Clippers	51c	900$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Clippers	49c	818.37$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.37	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked Timberwolves	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves	51c	765$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.15	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers	51c	700$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.1	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Timberwolves	52c	675.83$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.38	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Timberwolves	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	156	50%78 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers	51c	501.41$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.41	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Clippers	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Timberwolves	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Clippers	51c	440$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.6	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Timberwolves	53c	430.19$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Clippers	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	283	48.8%138 W · 145 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Clippers	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Timberwolves	50c	349.42$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.71	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers	49c	347.43$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.47	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves	50c	346.04$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.68	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	20c	310.11$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.95	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Timberwolves	50c	310$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves	52c	300$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Clippers	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves	51c	294.11$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf379…36c0backed Timberwolves	18c	212.77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.18	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b6…0da7backed Clippers	71c	212.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.02	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Clippers	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Clippers	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Timberwolves	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Clippers	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Clippers	73c	180.06$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.84	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a2…2868backed Clippers	51c	152.94$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.94	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Clippers	49c	150$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…b4f6backed Clippers	51c	129.41$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.41	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Timberwolves	43c	116.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.72	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Timberwolves	49c	116.18$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.93	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers	73c	105.36$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.34	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Timberwolves	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Timberwolves	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72cf…09bbbacked Timberwolves	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe872…fd21backed Clippers	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	140	36.4%51 W · 89 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Timberwolves	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	50cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Clippers	48c	80$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.23	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Timberwolves	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…ffd5backed Timberwolves	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Clippers	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	409	60.6%248 W · 161 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Timberwolves	42c	77.63$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Clippers	74c	69.95$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.87	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Clippers	60c	66.67$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0a…d64bbacked Clippers	49c	56$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.56	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-66%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83d…3896backed Timberwolves	53c	55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-49%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers	68c	52.13$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.72	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd2…a7aebacked Clippers	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Clippers	63c	47.95$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.56	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdf…b929backed Timberwolves	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea4e…5ecbbacked Timberwolves	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1c…2c38backed Timberwolves	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Timberwolves	53c	45.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Timberwolves	49c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f80…d2ecbacked Clippers	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers	59c	39.84$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.45	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Clippers	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	112	50%56 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…1df6backed Timberwolves	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b7…5324backed Clippers	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Timberwolves	53c	38.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Timberwolves	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Timberwolves	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…7ca1backed Clippers	50c	37.69$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.85	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4858…db0bbacked Timberwolves	50c	36.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.41	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	58cpaid	-48%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc55f…4676backed Clippers	51c	35.98$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.63	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Timberwolves	52c	34.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Clippers won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 209.5Over won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Clippers won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Clippers won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event