NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce5366c91340e4d57443c3508b62b1656c9bfd5bfa4a92b6425b55cca1b69e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 59c | 6,255$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.91 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 41c | 2,420$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 41c | 2,072$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.52 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 1,416$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 41c | 760$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 7c | 366.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 333.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 146.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 45c | 131$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 56c | 103.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Under | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 42c | 35.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Under | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…ef05backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -9.8wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.