NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb415671c3feb126df7e2543a06fc72b34435e11bfa7c4c4822145511ea7a26f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Timberwolves, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Timberwolves | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,999.98 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers | 52c | 196,301$102,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,224.55 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Clippers | 55c | 37,547$20,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,066.34 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 20,585$9,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,469.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Clippers | 53c | 20,016$10,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,407.46 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 13,481$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,106$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…0ae5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,049$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,709$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.33 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,659$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,611$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,563$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,049$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Clippers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 43c | 824.96$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 607.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Clippers | 50c | 547.24$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.62 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 436.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 422.74$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Clippers | 52c | 399.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Clippers | 52c | 304.71$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…7fb5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 241.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…8ea5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Clippers | 51c | 196.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Clippers | 70c | 181.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Clippers | 47c | 144.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Timberwolves | 49c | 107.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Clippers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…4bf0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 85.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Clippers | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 68c | 76.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 73.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…0e69backed Clippers | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc53…5ce3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 62.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Clippers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Timberwolves | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0b48backed Clippers | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Clippers | 52c | 46.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 40.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Clippers | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…ec75backed Clippers | 53c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 32.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Clippers | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Clippers | 58c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Clippers | 59c | 21.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.