Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3b6ac27c9f2beac6c85d9bec4dba34e4d1f5a96a42c230114e59a6179b9b25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Movistar KOI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 5,000$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.87 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 4,387$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 4,079$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked G2 Esports | 42c | 3,694$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.25 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed G2 Esports | 43c | 3,018$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked G2 Esports | 43c | 2,430$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked G2 Esports | 43c | 2,425$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed G2 Esports | 43c | 2,411$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Movistar KOI | 57c | 1,817$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Movistar KOI | 59c | 1,407$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed G2 Esports | 41c | 1,407$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked G2 Esports | 43c | 527.04$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.41 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Esports | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed G2 Esports | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…fbe8backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 325.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…9997backed G2 Esports | 38c | 304$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…0e28backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 287$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed G2 Esports | 42c | 264.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…0020backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 242$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed G2 Esports | 42c | 227.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…1cd2backed G2 Esports | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed G2 Esports | 42c | 221$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 56c | 193.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 128.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed G2 Esports | 43c | 111.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed G2 Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.46per pick | 47cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Movistar KOI | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked G2 Esports | 43c | 60.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed G2 Esports | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed G2 Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed G2 Esports | 40c | 47.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 40.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 37.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Movistar KOI | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Movistar KOI won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.