Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a32a94475c2ae0fee62f2be12878022bdc4984c94227dea1d9b7aaa025c1739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 69c | 3,219$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.31 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 31c | 2,140$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.59 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Over | 72c | 1,110$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.2 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Under | 52c | 722.52$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.18 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 28c | 634.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.4 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 29c | 495.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.74 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under | 33c | 375.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.19 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked Over | 74c | 271.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 27c | 206.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 29c | 172.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 151.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 53c | 149.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 31c | 118$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Under | 26c | 96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Under | 26c | 41.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…2b52backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Over | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Movistar KOI won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.