NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44747cb53cf72a2aca1c86e6ba096e797b6432aac777977be7fbde32081565da

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Wizards
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $79,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,282 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat	51c	19,494$9,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,552.79	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Heat	57c	13,354$7,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,802.14	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards	44c	12,786$5,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,625.71	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cf…7d64backed Wizards	49c	9,945$4,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,871	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	49c	8,102$4,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,007.76	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	54c	7,321$3,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,346.48	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards	49c	5,437$2,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,664	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Wizards	49c	5,411$2,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,651.46	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Heat	51c	2,439$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,194.9	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed Heat	51c	1,984$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$972.01	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat	50c	1,921$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.64	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Wizards	42c	1,229$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.18	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards	43c	1,163$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Heat	48c	1,121$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.39	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Wizards	46c	1,064$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.59	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Wizards	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	42c	1,034$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.37	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	46c	1,005$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.52	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d1…0139backed Heat	51c	988.88$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.55	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	48c	961.54$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.54	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Heat	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat	52c	899.98$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.81	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	53c	760.18$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.13	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Wizards	49c	616.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat	53c	600$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.38	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Wizards	47c	517.02$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Wizards	42c	509.82$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.32	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Wizards	4c	455.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	408	49%200 W · 208 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Wizards	53c	440$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.2	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Wizards	48c	418.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Wizards	47c	418$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.46	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Heat	48c	414.87$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.87	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Wizards	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Wizards	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heat	52c	340.91$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.66	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Heat	51c	335$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.15	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f1…04e9backed Wizards	54c	325.13$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.57	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3a…4d28backed Heat	55c	310.8$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.86	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wizards	45c	300$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Heat	57c	270$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.1	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Wizards	43c	249.98$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.49	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Wizards	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Heat	51c	202.04$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Wizards	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa438…8605backed Wizards	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wizards	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Wizards	44c	181.82$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	42c	180.02$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.98	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Heat	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Wizards	44c	157.5$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	48c	156.41$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.33	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Wizards	43c	150$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Heat	51c	142.42$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.79	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat	51c	135.51$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.4	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Wizards	43c	135.15$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.11	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Heat	49c	135$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.85	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Wizards	44c	129$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.76	93	60.2%56 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Heat	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Heat	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Wizards	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards	51c	93.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.93	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards	46c	91.67$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Heat	54c	85.88$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.41	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9794…32c9backed Wizards	45c	80.88$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1d…32fabacked Wizards	45c	79.35$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.71	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Wizards	45c	76.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.54	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards	45c	75.56$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb888…f103backed Wizards	45c	73.81$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.21	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Heat	57c	70.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Heat	54c	70$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.85	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Wizards	47c	59.57$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	197	48.2%95 W · 102 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Wizards	50c	57.06$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Wizards	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Heat	49c	50.61$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.81	108	56.5%61 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Wizards	53c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	633	53.1%336 W · 297 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wizards	31c	44.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea4e…5ecbbacked Heat	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Heat	49c	41.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Wizards	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Heat	56c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.72	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Heat	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Wizards	42c	34.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Heat	56c	32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.08	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f7b…39ddbacked Wizards	43c	31.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Heat	51c	31.69$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.53	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1cd…15aebacked Heat	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Heat	56c	29.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Wizards	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Wizards	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	367	51.5%189 W · 178 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Wizards	53c	26.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b37…d7e9backed Wizards	53c	26.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	119	38.7%46 W · 73 L	-10.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Heat	56c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Heat	52c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.58	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked Wizards	50c	22.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Heat	56c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.68	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe78f…2dfbbacked Heat	51c	20.59$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.09	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Heat	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	159	47.8%76 W · 83 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Heat	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8466…8bccbacked Wizards	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Wizards	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-22.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-24.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-27.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-31.5)Wizards won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event