NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3071b39f6951373089a0a0e852e6ca98e1d21a473faaf9269833c1846a9a012a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,643$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 44c | 3,299$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 3,021$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 48c | 2,749$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.57 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 45c | 2,698$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 2,572$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 34c | 2,118$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,794$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 39c | 1,011$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.33 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 77c | 1,000$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.79 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 59c | 850$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 781.16$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 36c | 510.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 65c | 465$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 41c | 300.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 43c | 285$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 64c | 284$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 243.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 214.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 49c | 206.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 49c | 199.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Under | 36c | 166.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 62c | 156.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 60c | 147$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…234cbacked Under | 49c | 131.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 45c | 104$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc706…4eeabacked Over | 51c | 100.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 61c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 12c | 89.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 43c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 47c | 71.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Under | 59c | 67.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 45c | 64.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 52c | 58.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 51.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 57c | 49.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…8417backed Over | 56c | 44.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.32per pick | 37cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 68c | 44.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 70c | 43.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…9f44backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 33c | 35.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 60c | 29.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 48c | 29.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf8…4987backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 42c | 26.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 46c | 25.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…4df5backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Under | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Under | 50c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 48c | 21.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 60c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…7ba7backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…b5d2backed Under | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f047backed Under | 62c | 18.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5this page
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.