NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2143e247c8df3346b874b79b68dcf3e4f9ac87073711b980d90d674cf1c19a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 207,878$110,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,175.38 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 47c | 34,345$16,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,202.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 29,630$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 28,527$14,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,641.2 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 24,524$11,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,826.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 19,963$9,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,779.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 15,225$8,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,009.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Grizzlies | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.61 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 50c | 10,135$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.97 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 47c | 5,383$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,238$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.5 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Grizzlies | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,810$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.11 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 3,762$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.04 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,098$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,051$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.66 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,283$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 2,117$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,573$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 951.82$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 937.5$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.38 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 852.78$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.92 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 755.02$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies | 47c | 430.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Grizzlies | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Grizzlies | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 326.78$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Grizzlies | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 293.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.73 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Grizzlies | 47c | 291.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 277.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Grizzlies | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Grizzlies | 49c | 193.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Grizzlies | 62c | 190.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 183.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…ffacbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 128.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 124.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 98.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Grizzlies | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Grizzlies | 48c | 92.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Grizzlies | 48c | 91.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 89.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…77ddbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 80.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Grizzlies | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Grizzlies | 50c | 75.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Grizzlies | 48c | 70.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 69.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 59.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…6a44backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 57.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 51.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Grizzlies | 47c | 51.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 51.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 50.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 48.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 45.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 42.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Grizzlies | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 41.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Grizzlies | 48c | 41.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Grizzlies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 39.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Grizzlies | 48c | 39.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 39.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Grizzlies | 51c | 32.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 32.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 28.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)this page
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.