NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3faf3ff3c73d939da6c5b8e453648af4c2c06963336a28684ee3403ff0ce23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 12,351$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 10,086$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,185.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 7,327$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.93 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 59c | 5,641$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.01 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 5,385$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 3,777$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.73 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 2,976$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 2,770$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.62 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 32c | 2,622$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 45c | 1,858$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.67 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 43c | 1,752$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 1,539$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.62 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 52c | 1,310$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.62 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 851.88$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 694.86$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 44c | 685.82$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.06 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 557.8$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Over | 44c | 457.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 277.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 56c | 268$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 217.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 216$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 190.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…8a48backed Under | 54c | 146.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 50c | 140.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 30c | 127.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 115.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 96.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 89.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 54c | 54.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 55c | 38.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 41c | 37.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 54c | 30.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 60c | 29.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 51c | 27.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 55c | 25.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Over | 51c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…a12dbacked Over | 45c | 23.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…718fbacked Under | 56c | 23.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 45c | 22.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5this page
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.