TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Ella Seidel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seidelof Kawa, Seidel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Seidel72c11,355$8,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.5565959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Kawa73c6,307$4,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,621.94645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Kawa42c5,445$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.9735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kawa38c3,602$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.582,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Kawa45c3,362$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Seidel59c2,486$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.6421147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kawa27c2,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.622641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Seidel46c2,177$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.71,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Kawa21c2,029$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Seidel44c2,017$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.946756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Seidel40c2,014$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.21,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Seidel52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Seidel79c1,476$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2643042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a9…4e21backed Seidel56c1,427$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcf…327ebacked Seidel74c1,370$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.053548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Kawa54c1,350$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.2230845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kawa52c1,297$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.0811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seidel70c1,136$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.778,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Seidel48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6762061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Kawa44c903.46$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39699139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seidel52c854.92$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.362,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3947…6c1ebacked Seidel52c766$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Seidel48c628.56$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8512627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Seidel50c625$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Kawa32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Kawa37c591.67$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.437644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Seidel71c567.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1125556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Kawa57c527.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Kawa38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kawa39c520.51$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.942,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Seidel44c518$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Kawa21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Kawa21c468.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Kawa46c437.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kawa49c406.8$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.311,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Seidel79c369.92$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…4fcabacked Kawa38c367.03$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1393767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Kawa70c350$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24565157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kawa46c322.64$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.052,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Seidel32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Kawa51c300.89$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8627543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b46…bb95backed Seidel61c293.8$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.532878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Kawa53c290.93$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10bc…76bebacked Kawa25c270.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c35…572abacked Seidel78c261.51$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.532166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Seidel44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2721454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked Seidel45c208.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.624341.9%18 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Seidel80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Seidel56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Kawa7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kawa42c193.94$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.953,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Seidel49c189.12$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.956835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Kawa54c183$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8218551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Kawa62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kawa57c142$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8473350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Seidel38c131.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.421,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Seidel45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1120447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Seidel28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7225355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Seidel37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6351539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seidel46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1679…e5e1backed Kawa57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Seidel52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seidel46c95.45$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.547,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Seidel53c94.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4344448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Seidel46c91.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8472542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Kawa57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Seidel62c82.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.265856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kawa24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Seidel56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8511653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Seidel38c78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3618540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Seidel32c75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+132.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kawa48c73.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.046,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Seidel77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2616356.4%92 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kawa72c67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.321,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kawa18c59.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x359d…1210backed Kawa42c59.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.77837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+129%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Seidel34c55.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.885147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Kawa21c52.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Seidel79c50.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.522962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Seidel45c48.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8227552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa913…cd20backed Kawa44c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.041816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kawa33c46.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.261,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Kawa52c45.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5910150.5%51 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked Kawa33c44.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.676036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Seidel45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4441846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Seidel57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3427546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5e…980cbacked Seidel32c39.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+88.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Kawa54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49ef…6e02backed Kawa65c31.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Seidel64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2530741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Kawa37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.136032.5%117 W · 243 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kawa54c28.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.196,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Kawa43c27.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.755349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d8…11babacked Seidel44c27.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Seidel64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Seidel65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.