TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Deep Cross Gamingof GAM Esports, Deep Cross Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe167…03a1backed GAM Esports36c5,120$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.6285652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed GAM Esports1c4,877$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-74%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb404…f61bbacked Deep Cross Gaming68c3,658$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.143844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Deep Cross Gaming60c3,185$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.842,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed GAM Esports14c2,929$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.220621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed GAM Esports45c2,323$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.3463161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed GAM Esports2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed GAM Esports4c1,712$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.837869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed GAM Esports12c1,700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.525038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Deep Cross Gaming64c1,605$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.6576955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e2…0064backed GAM Esports41c1,331$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Deep Cross Gaming70c1,303$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.031,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Deep Cross Gaming73c1,234$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.416050.6%81 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Deep Cross Gaming75c1,158$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.141,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed GAM Esports20c1,061$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4928350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x674f…4382backed GAM Esports6c1,043$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed GAM Esports10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed GAM Esports45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45019839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed GAM Esports44c977.21$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.1121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Deep Cross Gaming58c900$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked GAM Esports46c822.4$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37914835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed GAM Esports45c796.46$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.593,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed GAM Esports33c760$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.868443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed GAM Esports28c740.4$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911937%44 W · 75 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Deep Cross Gaming51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34332345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Deep Cross Gaming54c615.65$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6511750.4%59 W · 58 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Deep Cross Gaming70c582.38$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9139239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Deep Cross Gaming57c523.44$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.478151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Deep Cross Gaming69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1552,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed GAM Esports49c466.57$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23012137.2%45 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed GAM Esports44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked GAM Esports44c449.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked GAM Esports46c425$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0253640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Deep Cross Gaming64c411$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.081,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Deep Cross Gaming52c402.9$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9717933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8c…ec8fbacked GAM Esports49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1964938.8%19 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed GAM Esports46c394.93$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed GAM Esports29c383.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.174843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed GAM Esports45c344.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7923547.7%112 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Deep Cross Gaming57c320.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.591,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Deep Cross Gaming58c315.8$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Deep Cross Gaming63c315.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.661,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6690…2da0backed GAM Esports28c300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Deep Cross Gaming56c294.14$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.147143.7%31 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Deep Cross Gaming56c289.73$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.732755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked Deep Cross Gaming53c281.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3422646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GAM Esports28c274.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.271,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked GAM Esports7c249.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6b8…6a06backed GAM Esports28c241$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed GAM Esports42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed GAM Esports46c235$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.145041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa995…1be0backed GAM Esports6c231.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.896256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked GAM Esports45c220.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014153.9%76 W · 65 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x750d…4050backed GAM Esports14c206.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.942548%12 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd198…8797backed Deep Cross Gaming76c205$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018362.3%114 W · 69 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed GAM Esports38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e86…2db2backed GAM Esports42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8424629.7%73 W · 173 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Deep Cross Gaming56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8850547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Deep Cross Gaming57c190.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7321735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed GAM Esports40c190$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7643148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed GAM Esports37c188.03$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked GAM Esports6c179$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.482524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed GAM Esports49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ff4…9a30backed GAM Esports9c161$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Deep Cross Gaming57c133.77$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.525545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked GAM Esports50c129.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645756.1%32 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed GAM Esports43c118$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2243947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Deep Cross Gaming74c114.92$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8884050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Deep Cross Gaming63c103.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5744470%311 W · 133 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Deep Cross Gaming51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4926354%142 W · 121 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cdf…cbd9backed GAM Esports30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Deep Cross Gaming53c88.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb8…d194backed GAM Esports49c84.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.651833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Deep Cross Gaming59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7546846.8%219 W · 249 L-23.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Deep Cross Gaming54c84.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7415756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed Deep Cross Gaming60c82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8826346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Deep Cross Gaming54c79.36$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.369353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked GAM Esports23c79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.172,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed GAM Esports26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205038%19 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Deep Cross Gaming55c76.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.361,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d31…3230backed Deep Cross Gaming55c60.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed Deep Cross Gaming54c60.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe577…c284backed Deep Cross Gaming58c60.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Deep Cross Gaming57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.822356.5%126 W · 97 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa226…d7e9backed Deep Cross Gaming72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Deep Cross Gaming54c59.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.262857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Deep Cross Gaming75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.535966.6%239 W · 120 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Deep Cross Gaming55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.58241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked GAM Esports46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352151.8%270 W · 251 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Deep Cross Gaming69c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.234740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714e…79aebacked GAM Esports48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8151…d256backed GAM Esports52c38.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Deep Cross Gaming54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0242055.2%232 W · 188 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Deep Cross Gaming66c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5645344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…245ebacked GAM Esports56c36.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3695253.8%512 W · 440 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Deep Cross Gaming62c33.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6255744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9be…7517backed GAM Esports40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed GAM Esports42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.635751.5%184 W · 173 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked GAM Esports47c29.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9248652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a69…aec0backed Deep Cross Gaming76c29.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.