TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa226…d7e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.9%+$88.83
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$216
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Phantasma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Phantasma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$68.33
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+669.2%+$87
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$176.25
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$131.33
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25.33
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$51.9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+27.5%+$6.47
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.2%+$28.67
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.6
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+142.4%+$76.77
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.