Lol · resolved market
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4edb0314a937961a97c92449733dccc7163e192ec82eb527757358905a095511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WLGaming Esportsof WLGaming Esports, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked WLGaming Esports | 50c | 3,634$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.43 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed WLGaming Esports | 45c | 2,965$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.81 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Team Phantasma | 47c | 2,146$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 373 | 44%164 W · 209 L | -16.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Phantasma | 55c | 1,928$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.47 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Team Phantasma | 17c | 1,570$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 1,219$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.58 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Phantasma | 9c | 1,200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 1,060 | 28.5%302 W · 758 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…0064backed Team Phantasma | 37c | 1,100$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Team Phantasma | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,009 | 48.2%486 W · 523 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Team Phantasma | 54c | 931.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 616 | 45.3%279 W · 337 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Phantasma | 65c | 866.95$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed WLGaming Esports | 61c | 828.89$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.05 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WLGaming Esports | 42c | 710.45$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.95 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed WLGaming Esports | 46c | 660$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.4 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…7517backed WLGaming Esports | 72c | 411.53$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Team Phantasma | 66c | 339.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked WLGaming Esports | 61c | 329.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Team Phantasma | 61c | 327.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WLGaming Esports | 51c | 306.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Team Phantasma | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed WLGaming Esports | 62c | 253.17$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked WLGaming Esports | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Team Phantasma | 64c | 222.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Team Phantasma | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed WLGaming Esports | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed WLGaming Esports | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Team Phantasma | 67c | 175.51$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed WLGaming Esports | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed WLGaming Esports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed WLGaming Esports | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Team Phantasma | 63c | 143.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…d7e9backed Team Phantasma | 53c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked WLGaming Esports | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed WLGaming Esports | 54c | 107.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked WLGaming Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked WLGaming Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e22…7c24backed WLGaming Esports | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed WLGaming Esports | 74c | 94.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Team Phantasma | 62c | 94.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…afbebacked Team Phantasma | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Phantasma | 50c | 86.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Team Phantasma | 61c | 82.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Team Phantasma | 66c | 79.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 494 | 66.8%330 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Team Phantasma | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 68.7%169 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed WLGaming Esports | 50c | 70.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed WLGaming Esports | 58c | 60.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Team Phantasma | 67c | 60.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked WLGaming Esports | 59c | 58.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Phantasma | 54c | 54.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Team Phantasma | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Team Phantasma | 26c | 48.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…f92abacked WLGaming Esports | 55c | 47.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked Team Phantasma | 61c | 47.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed WLGaming Esports | 60c | 47.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 276 | 55.8%154 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed WLGaming Esports | 59c | 41.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Team Phantasma | 52c | 38.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 793 | 56.2%446 W · 347 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed WLGaming Esports | 33c | 35.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…b10abacked Team Phantasma | 53c | 34.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked WLGaming Esports | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked WLGaming Esports | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked WLGaming Esports | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…615bbacked Team Phantasma | 63c | 29.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Team Phantasma | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…16c7backed Team Phantasma | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed WLGaming Esports | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…4c29backed Team Phantasma | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Team Phantasma | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked WLGaming Esports | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO5) - HLL PlayoffsWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 WinnerTeam Phantasma won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 3 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 4 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.