Lol · resolved market
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60cb43af586b56cc5832a39e5aa237fd1160499937d1e2a14b3dbed8b6d7769c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WLGaming Esportsof WLGaming Esports, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Team Phantasma | 1c | 3,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Team Phantasma | 52c | 1,950$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.59 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed WLGaming Esports | 46c | 1,730$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.09 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked WLGaming Esports | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Team Phantasma | 15c | 1,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…0064backed Team Phantasma | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Team Phantasma | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Team Phantasma | 54c | 931.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Phantasma | 48c | 864.02$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.47 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Phantasma | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed WLGaming Esports | 46c | 687.1$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.03 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Phantasma | 65c | 608.2$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.31 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Phantasma | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed WLGaming Esports | 37c | 534.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.14 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Team Phantasma | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +11.4wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…a8cdbacked Team Phantasma | 62c | 485.26$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed WLGaming Esports | 48c | 481.25$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Team Phantasma | 57c | 405.68$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed WLGaming Esports | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked WLGaming Esports | 35c | 311.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Phantasma | 75c | 266.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Phantasma | 50c | 252.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Team Phantasma | 58c | 247.47$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Phantasma | 70c | 229.81$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked WLGaming Esports | 42c | 205.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…e946backed Team Phantasma | 50c | 202.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Phantasma | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WLGaming Esports | 52c | 194.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Phantasma | 60c | 177.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Team Phantasma | 76c | 164.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed WLGaming Esports | 37c | 159.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Team Phantasma | 51c | 146.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Phantasma | 70c | 124.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed WLGaming Esports | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e22…7c24backed Team Phantasma | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…d7e9backed Team Phantasma | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed WLGaming Esports | 36c | 95.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…d7f2backed Team Phantasma | 57c | 87.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked WLGaming Esports | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 245 | 64.5%158 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed WLGaming Esports | 50c | 79.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked WLGaming Esports | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Team Phantasma | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed WLGaming Esports | 38c | 56.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked WLGaming Esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed WLGaming Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed WLGaming Esports | 44c | 45.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked WLGaming Esports | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked WLGaming Esports | 34c | 45.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…1ff9backed Team Phantasma | 54c | 42.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed WLGaming Esports | 52c | 30.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…b10abacked Team Phantasma | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed WLGaming Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Team Phantasma | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed WLGaming Esports | 41c | 27.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Phantasma | 58c | 27.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…0baebacked Team Phantasma | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Team Phantasma | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Team Phantasma | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…df9abacked Team Phantasma | 68c | 22.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Phantasma | 51c | 20.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…7517backed Team Phantasma | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…fad9backed Team Phantasma | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…ad61backed Team Phantasma | 61c | 19.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO5) - HLL PlayoffsWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 WinnerTeam Phantasma won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 4 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.