Lol · resolved market
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f5caae690ea1c27e89c66a009932238bb416aaba666ca5dc14be0c5c3d9eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WLGaming Esportsof WLGaming Esports, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked WLGaming Esports | 67c | 1,299$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.86 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Phantasma | 68c | 960.57$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.33 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed WLGaming Esports | 30c | 799.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.99 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Phantasma | 45c | 475.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.19 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed WLGaming Esports | 55c | 437.33$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Team Phantasma | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…e946backed Team Phantasma | 33c | 239.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed Team Phantasma | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed WLGaming Esports | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e22…7c24backed Team Phantasma | 59c | 189.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked WLGaming Esports | 54c | 149.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked WLGaming Esports | 26c | 133.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked WLGaming Esports | 50c | 119.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed WLGaming Esports | 37c | 107.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Phantasma | 53c | 106.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Phantasma | 74c | 106.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Team Phantasma | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…0468backed Team Phantasma | 73c | 95.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 135 | 69.6%94 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Phantasma | 52c | 85.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed WLGaming Esports | 44c | 75.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed WLGaming Esports | 48c | 62.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked Team Phantasma | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 245 | 64.5%158 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked WLGaming Esports | 46c | 51.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked WLGaming Esports | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Team Phantasma | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…3f04backed WLGaming Esports | 32c | 49.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Team Phantasma | 61c | 49.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed WLGaming Esports | 34c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Team Phantasma | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked WLGaming Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Team Phantasma | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Team Phantasma | 59c | 33.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Team Phantasma | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…b10abacked Team Phantasma | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO5) - HLL PlayoffsWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 WinnerTeam Phantasma won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 3 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.