Lol · resolved market
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729c2afed7a56c478f13ebc7fcd6c9177637c296ce72c05d7f5b83a2ba6aebdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phantasmaof WLGaming Esports, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Phantasma | 53c | 3,310$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.35 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Phantasma | 54c | 1,486$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.02 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed WLGaming Esports | 36c | 1,439$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.17 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Phantasma | 65c | 1,382$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.36 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked WLGaming Esports | 48c | 1,137$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.78 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…8e76backed WLGaming Esports | 36c | 961.66$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Team Phantasma | 79c | 619.52$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed WLGaming Esports | 37c | 536.88$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WLGaming Esports | 45c | 506.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.44 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Phantasma | 67c | 500$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed WLGaming Esports | 33c | 500$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Phantasma | 63c | 387.43$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Team Phantasma | 67c | 315.09$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed WLGaming Esports | 33c | 265.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Team Phantasma | 63c | 242.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed WLGaming Esports | 49c | 234.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked WLGaming Esports | 35c | 211.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Phantasma | 63c | 205.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…d7f2backed WLGaming Esports | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked WLGaming Esports | 48c | 179$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed WLGaming Esports | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Phantasma | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked WLGaming Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked WLGaming Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…fec7backed WLGaming Esports | 49c | 95.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed WLGaming Esports | 46c | 93.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed WLGaming Esports | 45c | 90.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Phantasma | 72c | 73.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Phantasma | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed WLGaming Esports | 56c | 55.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Team Phantasma | 67c | 52.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 493 | 66.7%329 W · 164 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…332bbacked WLGaming Esports | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked WLGaming Esports | 54c | 47.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Team Phantasma | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Team Phantasma | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked WLGaming Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Team Phantasma | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Team Phantasma | 59c | 23.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…b10abacked Team Phantasma | 72c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO5) - HLL PlayoffsWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 3 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 4 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.