TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$495,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$497,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over48c310,750$148,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,795.372450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under52c150,000$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,0006347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under52c125,345$65,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,165.832839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c65,676$29,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,677.442,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over49c50,934$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over61c45,262$27,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,604.661952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under53c31,250$16,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,687.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c18,534$9,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,110.9693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under55c13,009$7,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c7,951$4,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,907.161,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c7,062$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.7898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c5,048$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.0140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c4,536$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.1520544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over26c4,350$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under52c3,333$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.847444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under53c2,842$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.454447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over48c2,723$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.572650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over47c2,300$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.9912049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c2,237$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.3922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c2,096$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.9419549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.994748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Under41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8851070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under35c1,413$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.685250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over51c1,376$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c1,359$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.8233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Under55c1,309$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under54c1,280$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c1,274$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.8134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under53c1,111$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.392748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c1,044$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under75c1,025$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.062755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c930.53$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over64c781.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over45c657.09$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.696028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under50c654.48$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.563271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Over45c651.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.042941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under37c636.87$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over63c527.81$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.52290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.19652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over61c482.46$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.37552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Under46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e5…1f2fbacked Over48c418.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c414.93$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over46c408$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6816046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19616251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over47c382.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Over54c364$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Over47c340.41$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under45c301.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.558752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over49c301.49$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under41c292.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.681942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over48c278.83$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Over39c257.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.524247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over48c255.9$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8318055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over47c228.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.274845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cf…2302backed Over47c207.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.591947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over47c204.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.289937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over46c195.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.894753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under52c179.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.399045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c176.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.892347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under53c174.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.431450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c166.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over48c141.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.518854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over29c140.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.822842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under52c133.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4421251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over67c132.29$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3614351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under47c130.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9624955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over47c127$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.695740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over47c125.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over50c125.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7715847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under53c124.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.533250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over66c122.73$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over46c119.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.56956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Over43c117.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c2…63f7backed Over48c111.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under64c111.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.636852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over48c110.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.