Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd82ec913a74a51aa28fc8e0e95796628def71c2c0fb71db6aa8f78919070de22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 9,406$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 79c | 2,439$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.39 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 74c | 2,100$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 74c | 1,482$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Over | 77c | 1,298$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 1,240$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 1,022$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 74c | 803.28$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Over | 74c | 625.77$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 73c | 497.85$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 338.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 26c | 332.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 25c | 323.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Over | 74c | 310.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 308.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 76c | 196.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 27c | 195.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Over | 72c | 183.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 151.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 28c | 125.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 90.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 81.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Over | 73c | 72.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 23c | 65.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over | 73c | 56.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 27c | 50.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…1fe4backed Over | 70c | 48.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…f1b8backed Over | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 71c | 44.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 74c | 43.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 28c | 42.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…35d5backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…34d8backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.