Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x462ebdbb0caeacaa6bfd0f37ba047972400a466fbbe58c5c26ec22100c9464b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 22c | 2,799$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,480$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 79c | 2,012$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.38 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 25c | 1,556$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 34c | 1,071$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under | 60c | 1,004$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 33c | 984.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 966.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 68c | 885.77$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.77 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 75c | 761.73$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 24c | 409.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 19c | 383$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 74c | 245$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 241.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Under | 67c | 223.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 78c | 208.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Under | 79c | 140$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 68c | 97.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 26c | 91.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 76c | 82.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 27c | 77.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 75c | 66.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…654cbacked Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 30c | 52.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 31.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 43c | 28.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Under | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 74c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 74c | 13.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.