Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x332bcd9e486495c6fbc8c745deec98b3487b6cd6b6f835d3e0f7bda8c3ade332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 27c | 2,865$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.86 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 2,171$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.64 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 68c | 1,912$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,608$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.44 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 79c | 1,567$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 30c | 1,263$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.12 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked No | 58c | 1,252$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 1,010$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 909.31$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.61 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 63c | 717.09$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 55c | 703.49$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.51 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Yes | 31c | 638.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 63c | 500$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…5c06backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 402.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 32c | 375$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 363.51$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 350.27$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.65 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Yes | 30c | 336.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 56c | 327.48$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 18c | 325$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 70c | 322.57$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 64c | 275$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 258$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 60c | 164.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 28c | 154.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 70c | 145.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 31c | 139.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 139.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 68c | 123$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 111.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 58c | 111.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 38c | 106.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 51c | 86.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…07abbacked No | 14c | 83.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 72.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 72.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 71.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 67.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 58.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 77c | 43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 42c | 31.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 30.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 55c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…d7e9backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.