Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04595122131169d0b218cfa91f2c39368654c82cb340f9b5a6824cb6948349b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 65c | 4,247$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 3,571$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.13 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 30c | 2,832$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.45 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 54c | 2,256$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.31 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 2,082$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.3 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 73c | 1,918$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 35c | 1,647$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.44 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 70c | 1,427$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 31c | 1,396$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.81 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 1,285$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.45 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 1,012$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.13 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 65c | 730.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 29c | 720.86$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 552.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 521.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…5c06backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Yes | 34c | 472.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 45c | 454.66$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 32c | 443.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked No | 40c | 440.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.59 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 32c | 421.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 26c | 385$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…a7a9backed Yes | 32c | 357.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc381…e24bbacked Yes | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 328.14$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…fdf2backed Yes | 32c | 321.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…484abacked Yes | 32c | 313.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 310.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 306.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 31c | 285.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Yes | 36c | 278.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 197.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 41c | 185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…a46fbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 109.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 105.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 29c | 104.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 87.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 67c | 72.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 59c | 64.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 32c | 64.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 29c | 64.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…b35dbacked No | 74c | 62.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 32c | 61.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 52.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 64c | 50.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 68c | 44.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 28c | 41.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 40.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 51c | 31.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 65c | 30.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 69c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…7517backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.