Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd38e3db775f312e225fa210fd461f8e4f6050750db9adf88971f2984ffeedcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 62c | 59,093$36,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,528.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 14,679$5,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.17 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 38c | 12,494$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.45 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 9,420$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.54 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 9,407$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.75 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 5,618$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.51 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 39c | 4,172$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 62c | 1,875$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.05 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 1,433$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 78c | 1,278$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.13 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 40c | 1,229$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 1,165$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.56 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 803.75$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 38c | 798.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…2e5ebacked Yes | 38c | 704.17$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 67c | 668.84$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 4c | 641$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 38c | 540.4$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 37c | 535.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 62c | 442.51$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 348.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 63c | 340$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 336.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 41c | 328.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 30c | 266.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 217.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 33c | 211.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 7c | 204.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 185.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 42c | 175.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 31c | 170.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 39c | 164.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 78c | 153.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 41c | 151.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 34c | 145.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Yes | 39c | 131.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 106$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…37e4backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed Yes | 28c | 90.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 17c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 42c | 47.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 37c | 46.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d557backed Yes | 40c | 42.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 39c | 40.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 79c | 34.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Yes | 38c | 33.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 29.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.