Us Politics · resolved market
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b151f663df6f807e89fdd0d58c7cff1d851028e64b69410b0c2f69b4a5b03b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 1c | 38,322$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.78 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e5…66b2backed Yes | 15c | 20,544$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 12,709$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.03 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 4c | 8,855$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.7 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 4c | 5,507$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.49 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,887$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…fce0backed Yes | 5c | 3,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e8…be6cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 4c | 2,859$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…5fa3backed Yes | 3c | 2,530$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 2,473$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked Yes | 1c | 2,202$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 14c | 2,040$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6264backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,992$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…7ab1backed Yes | 1c | 1,925$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Yes | 3c | 1,814$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Yes | 32c | 1,584$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,345$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…10cbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,318$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…3bcdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,282$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…0768backed Yes | 19c | 1,264$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed Yes | 13c | 1,134$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 76c | 1,058$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.42 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.27 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…9317backed Yes | 2c | 995$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 4c | 992.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed Yes | 1c | 981.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 975$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…839abacked Yes | 2c | 933$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…1081backed Yes | 1c | 871.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 853.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 8c | 845.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 2c | 800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 770.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcd…9111backed Yes | 13c | 767.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 7c | 731.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…1287backed Yes | 14c | 715.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 671.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94b3…a66cbacked Yes | 7c | 646.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 4c | 601.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 10c | 601.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…4ea3backed Yes | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 5c | 595$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 584.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 18c | 559.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 533$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…a154backed Yes | 8c | 505.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…426abacked Yes | 20c | 504.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Yes | 7c | 463.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 80c | 442.48$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 11c | 410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…d648backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 20c | 370$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 35c | 355.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…de73backed Yes | 5c | 343.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8790backed Yes | 13c | 331$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…9c3bbacked Yes | 61c | 326.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…890ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…e6e7backed Yes | 6c | 295$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…a264backed Yes | 5c | 292$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…112bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 10c | 275$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 22c | 248.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…c2e2backed Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee3…3c83backed Yes | 9c | 222.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 14c | 222$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 75c | 216.6$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…b278backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…5ac6backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1dc9backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…27aebacked Yes | 6c | 180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 58c | 172.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5938…96e6backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…a51abacked Yes | 33c | 151.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…738bbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 22c | 124.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 107.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…b73ebacked Yes | 11c | 102.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…8853backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…9286backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…115fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 12c | 97.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?this page
- Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes won
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes won
- Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.