Us Politics · resolved market
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05898f8dd447068a47ee3e68c3019c940375cce9ad1ab0af64eb2cd49cb43375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x354f…03ebbacked No | 69c | 53,576$36,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,608.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…8513backed Yes | 31c | 53,576$16,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,608.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…14cbbacked Yes | 10c | 31,859$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 26c | 30,000$7,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,903.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed No | 80c | 19,321$15,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 75c | 8,586$6,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.97 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 20c | 8,429$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.44 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed No | 77c | 8,333$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 8,078$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.86 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 14c | 7,650$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.28 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1996…37c4backed Yes | 17c | 7,303$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 72c | 6,133$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.47 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 6,097$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.03 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 19c | 5,696$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.28 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 79c | 5,555$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 35c | 5,003$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 27c | 4,760$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.94 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…e435backed Yes | 17c | 4,692$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 15c | 4,463$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.55 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 74c | 4,050$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 16c | 4,000$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.5 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 29c | 3,734$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…fd89backed Yes | 30c | 3,336$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 12c | 2,755$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.76 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 2c | 2,523$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…2baebacked Yes | 1c | 2,501$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,482$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.3 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 2,240$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.03 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 17c | 2,070$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.07 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6264backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 12c | 1,841$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 25c | 1,777$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…0baabacked Yes | 11c | 1,742$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…a925backed Yes | 24c | 1,701$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,615$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 19c | 1,465$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.1 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 9c | 1,451$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,395$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.57 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…fce0backed Yes | 12c | 1,392$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed No | 74c | 1,289$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 15c | 1,157$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 2c | 1,050$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…dd51backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Yes | 28c | 999.17$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 17c | 970.28$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 76c | 939.62$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.91 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 893.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 7c | 876.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 75c | 873.37$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 13c | 832.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…6a16backed Yes | 3c | 736.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 9c | 711.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 78c | 691.09$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 676.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 24c | 673$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed Yes | 15c | 624$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 8c | 556.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 555.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 65c | 540.72$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d3…2d2bbacked Yes | 23c | 529.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 13c | 518.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed No | 76c | 516$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 78c | 509.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…8d33backed Yes | 23c | 496$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 50c | 478$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 74c | 468.91$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…9be6backed Yes | 22c | 451.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked No | 70c | 450$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Yes | 23c | 430.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Yes | 8c | 428$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…7a23backed Yes | 19c | 398$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 5c | 397.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8a…e6b5backed Yes | 14c | 393$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…3808backed Yes | 13c | 391$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…4a8dbacked Yes | 19c | 383$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5507…0e9fbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…c3c4backed Yes | 19c | 380$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed No | 80c | 375.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 6c | 372.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 22c | 365.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 19c | 360$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb398…89bfbacked Yes | 21c | 355$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b7…9027backed Yes | 13c | 342$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367e…2221backed Yes | 11c | 340$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 29c | 340$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…acdfbacked No | 79c | 337.18$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…441abacked Yes | 19c | 326$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…1105backed Yes | 18c | 326$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked No | 72c | 325.62$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 24c | 324$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 324$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 21c | 321.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 33c | 319.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7659…e46fbacked Yes | 12c | 316$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?this page
- Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes won
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes won
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.