Us Politics · resolved market
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d98dacc9621503dce2382ab9eefbdbebea43a20af9b8e90c1112e649ee39cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 12c | 12,750$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.99 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 11c | 5,091$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.66 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 14c | 4,558$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.44 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 75c | 3,483$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.64 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 72c | 3,393$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.28 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 18c | 2,718$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.47 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 26c | 2,438$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.37 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…920ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,118$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…6f4dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,891$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.36 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…9919backed Yes | 11c | 1,825$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 29c | 1,568$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.32 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,081$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,079$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 8c | 1,024$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 29c | 999.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 25c | 979$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 36c | 965.03$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.66 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 27c | 959$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 78c | 799.96$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 14c | 785.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 4c | 735$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 16c | 658.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 20c | 614.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 33c | 600$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 19c | 589$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…5fa3backed Yes | 4c | 554$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 77c | 550.1$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…9be6backed Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 31c | 539.38$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 69c | 537$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 62c | 524.58$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…6977backed Yes | 15c | 512$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 73c | 481.55$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed No | 63c | 474.6$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 43c | 469.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 468$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 11c | 446.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 29c | 422.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 79c | 404.32$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 78c | 399.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 37c | 387.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…7e78backed Yes | 13c | 380.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 20c | 370$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 63c | 361.97$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…e35cbacked Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 66c | 334.59$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 34c | 321.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 15c | 320$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 71c | 313.93$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 68c | 296.46$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…baaebacked Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…2440backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…834cbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…7bc7backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 17c | 223.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 14c | 204.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 36c | 204.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…d2f8backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed Yes | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 64c | 151.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…44edbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…1474backed Yes | 25c | 139.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…fda7backed Yes | 14c | 131.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 127.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed Yes | 40c | 125.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…aca5backed Yes | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…2172backed No | 78c | 123.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…459fbacked Yes | 33c | 121.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 34c | 120.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…bbb4backed Yes | 21c | 118.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 117.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…9f01backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc154…aa0ebacked Yes | 21c | 112.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 36c | 112.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…c7e9backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…6abebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…5e85backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 23cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ec02backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?this page
- Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes won
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes won
- Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
- Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.