Valorant · resolved market
Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1f08040f96003fc294b8ed3e49d6e4218dce7fb60bb082f94cd4a1a3d06822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,039 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51c7…71b4backed No | 77c | 3,669$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…402cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,025$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,845$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.02 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 43c | 544.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 19c | 398.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 30c | 362.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 29c | 216.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 196$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Yes | 35c | 168.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 11c | 159.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 17c | 143.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 34c | 138.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 70c | 125.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…dd0abacked Yes | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…fb3bbacked Yes | 20c | 117$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 108.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 65.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Yes | 39c | 51.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…0aaabacked No | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 80c | 35.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…921abacked No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked No | 73c | 34.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…9adcbacked No | 61c | 27.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…3192backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 55c | 19.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…2300backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…f81ebacked No | 77c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688d…9417backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026?this page
- Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Gentle Mates win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?Yes won
- Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will T1 win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.