Valorant · resolved market
Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea704d428302fe0b4f9b927edf8841aeca7193d509f63e6f028c71dbcb1b2256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,976 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,093$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 983$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…9a62backed Yes | 14c | 503.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 11c | 213.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 23c | 198.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 8c | 195.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 120.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 77c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 12c | 84.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 49.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?this page
- Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Gentle Mates win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?Yes won
- Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will T1 win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.