Valorant · resolved market
Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3144a42a9a9d0ca52b464f954f1ea9657f55052cd0537d932c2e132fdc7c3025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,518 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 45c | 20,511$9,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,275.79 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 56c | 12,826$7,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,121.96 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 55c | 9,538$5,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,213.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yes | 55c | 7,470$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.16 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Yes | 52c | 1,414$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.24 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed No | 47c | 749.55$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 46c | 727.12$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.23 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb28e…3997backed Yes | 54c | 650.74$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 60c | 474.64$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfd…7fb1backed Yes | 28c | 448.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 396.61$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…92f1backed Yes | 35c | 341.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…41f2backed Yes | 23c | 325.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 22c | 292.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 282.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 58c | 230$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 51c | 219.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Yes | 27c | 167.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 75c | 141.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 56c | 126.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 36c | 124.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…a045backed Yes | 55c | 122.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 43c | 114.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…e9b5backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed No | 48c | 103.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…5f71backed Yes | 33c | 103.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c9…0557backed Yes | 37c | 100.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa3…f386backed Yes | 24c | 84.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fef…d8dabacked Yes | 35c | 69.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 65.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…39ebbacked Yes | 32c | 64.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…6875backed Yes | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 40c | 61.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…ed61backed Yes | 51c | 58.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…ee53backed Yes | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 29c | 56.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 49.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 25c | 47.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…4528backed Yes | 27c | 47.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063f…d10fbacked Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…9844backed Yes | 25c | 46.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 57c | 44.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…2b20backed No | 75c | 41.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 48c | 38.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 33.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…ddb1backed Yes | 57c | 32.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…832fbacked Yes | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…b753backed Yes | 45c | 22.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Yes | 56c | 19.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…4c11backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?this page
- Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Gentle Mates win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?Yes won
- Will T1 win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.