Valorant · resolved market
Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x904eb028b6a3be508b640bc5c4195b440a72914eead8adec680f43273a83243e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,851 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed No | 55c | 7,323$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.99 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 4,347$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.06 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 54c | 968.27$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 33c | 615.66$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.87 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Yes | 34c | 333.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.17 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked No | 46c | 285.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 18c | 277$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 19c | 269.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…10adbacked Yes | 15c | 264.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 43c | 262.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…dd0abacked Yes | 52c | 228.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 46c | 227.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 195.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 156.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad4…cae6backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +461.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Yes | 22c | 136.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Yes | 48c | 121.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 120.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…2378backed No | 72c | 119.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 10c | 110.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 68c | 107.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…f19dbacked Yes | 25c | 102.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +295.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 27c | 101.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…02c4backed No | 54c | 97.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 97.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 27c | 73.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Yes | 56c | 71.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbb…ced2backed No | 77c | 65.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…6875backed No | 55c | 63.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Yes | 53c | 56.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 54.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed Yes | 47c | 53.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…4528backed Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 42.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 25c | 42.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…2d12backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…9adcbacked Yes | 55c | 39.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…5f71backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…382dbacked Yes | 55c | 33.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 31.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5e…55fcbacked Yes | 58c | 31.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea54…5c97backed Yes | 49c | 25.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?this page
- Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Gentle Mates win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will T1 win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win Masters Santiago 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.