South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fafbd292f7a4d020a3865138bc396018e361a8248fcbcb03c7a99eeb5daf18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,988$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 55c | 533.22$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 75c | 400.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Over | 67c | 325.37$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Under | 44c | 273.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 175$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 136.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 29c | 101.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 61c | 85.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 33c | 45.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Over | 47c | 41.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 37c | 35.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 63c | 31.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 67c | 29.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 73c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…c673backed Over | 54c | 22.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…40ddbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-1.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.