South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35cc89eb2775fe7c811a1d3407a2393173271162a0fdc4da378da5384b8e00c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 5,213$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 33c | 1,341$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 36c | 1,109$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 31c | 999.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Over | 32c | 699.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 42c | 666.48$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 68c | 650$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 37c | 548.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 77c | 523.15$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 13c | 506.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 39c | 499.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 34c | 430.59$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 40c | 299$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 74c | 271.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 39c | 229.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 65c | 161.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…41c1backed Under | 73c | 137.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 133.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Over | 18c | 99.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 62c | 80.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 61c | 78.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 61c | 75.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 68c | 73.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 33c | 64.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 70c | 54.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…632fbacked Under | 62c | 52.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 60c | 46.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Over | 36c | 41.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 48c | 41.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Under | 62c | 40.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 27c | 40.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 76c | 39.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…0420backed Under | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 62c | 29.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 74c | 28.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Under | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…1537backed Under | 70c | 27.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…9cd3backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 62c | 23.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed Under | 78c | 21.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Under | 71c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-1.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.