Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd883be4507dcadcf0c9699fab53030dc6e387c7b9c749ffca3c5beef295b559e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 13,119$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 2,778$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 40c | 2,013$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 37c | 999.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 21c | 954.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 21c | 889.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 800.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 65c | 779.84$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.27 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 611.66$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.66 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 20c | 474$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 21c | 425$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 60c | 416.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 62c | 355.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 331.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 38c | 320.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 63c | 318.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 39c | 292.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 38c | 260.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 243.2$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 24c | 219.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 198.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 78c | 191.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 58c | 170.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…e592backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 38c | 157.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 118.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 115.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 22c | 112.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 39c | 110.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 63c | 79.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…feb0backed Yes | 62c | 73.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 65.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 38c | 57.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 21c | 52.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Yes | 62c | 49.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 62c | 48.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1a6bbacked No | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 62c | 47.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 62c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 38c | 35.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 38c | 32.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 62c | 31.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…818dbacked Yes | 62c | 29.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 69c | 26.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Yes | 65c | 22.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 60c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes | 62c | 19.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 60c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…f0abbacked Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 63c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…4052backed Yes | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Yes | 78c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 80c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-23?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-23?No won
- Will FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.