Music · resolved market
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x699a92c550395c9375043a319b7e7e9ce96ad80f39ac0ec916daaf5b49ccb684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 24c | 13,467$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.49 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 19c | 10,385$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 26c | 8,283$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 22c | 7,136$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.98 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Yes | 26c | 4,756$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 47c | 4,688$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 70c | 4,397$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 30c | 3,998$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.22 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,547$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…f265backed Yes | 3c | 3,177$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 3,098$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 5c | 2,959$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 9c | 2,918$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be4…009abacked Yes | 31c | 2,573$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,570$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.18 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 2,392$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.62 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 78c | 2,324$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 13c | 2,240$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 37c | 2,004$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.78 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,918$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 31c | 1,901$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,850$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 55c | 1,701$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…f821backed Yes | 22c | 1,700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 26c | 1,696$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.92 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,673$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.64 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 69c | 1,630$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.07 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 1,479$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.71 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 56c | 1,473$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…9fb2backed Yes | 36c | 1,422$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…d1b4backed Yes | 26c | 1,402$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,275$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,224$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 39c | 1,160$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…8cf0backed No | 77c | 1,118$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…e847backed Yes | 1c | 1,116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…a994backed Yes | 17c | 1,070$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 71c | 1,058$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…2213backed Yes | 16c | 1,039$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…b17abacked Yes | 25c | 1,033$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 994.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…fe64backed Yes | 5c | 993.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 6c | 936.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 37c | 865.52$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 9c | 815.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…e7c8backed Yes | 4c | 813.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 70c | 813.22$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 805.84$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 749.75$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.06 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e9…a47fbacked Yes | 3c | 747.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Yes | 32c | 663.42$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 62c | 647.7$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…7a8cbacked Yes | 10c | 635.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…a818backed Yes | 27c | 634.24$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 52c | 617$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.59 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 580.72$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 75c | 563.09$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…c0f4backed Yes | 30c | 562.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…d9babacked Yes | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e06…f72bbacked Yes | 14c | 550$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d39…9b8dbacked Yes | 45c | 530$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…dd1bbacked Yes | 35c | 523$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…15fcbacked Yes | 60c | 498.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…d2c7backed Yes | 20c | 497.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 17c | 488.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 68c | 488.12$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 54c | 469$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…a787backed Yes | 12c | 464$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…f5e3backed Yes | 19c | 457.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842f…9444backed Yes | 14c | 451.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…6c83backed Yes | 21c | 445.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…6d73backed No | 51c | 438.57$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 437.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 42c | 435$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…9f09backed Yes | 45c | 430$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…c7dfbacked Yes | 13c | 419.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed Yes | 21c | 416.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 25c | 410.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…09bebacked Yes | 22c | 402.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…57dbbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…6050backed Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 3c | 399.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…2101backed Yes | 14c | 393.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 63c | 391.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 66c | 382.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c2…a6e0backed Yes | 23c | 380.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed No | 78c | 379.15$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 48c | 376.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…c52abacked No | 67c | 374.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…190ebacked No | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…2542backed Yes | 11c | 368.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…00dbbacked Yes | 3c | 367.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…8bf8backed Yes | 37c | 349.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 75c | 345.51$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?this page
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes won
- Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Noah Kahan have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.