Earnings · resolved market
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe923673ba211c54d72ba450877492a9e39582897edb9e8bf48fd1b42db746561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x202d…3d97backed No | 78c | 5,117$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 16c | 2,868$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 17c | 1,325$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.69 | 306 | 15%46 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,089$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 32c | 1,075$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 1,034$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 76c | 1,034$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 10c | 814.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 17c | 657.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…01aabacked Yes | 24c | 625.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…0454backed Yes | 20c | 608.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…7a7fbacked No | 78c | 607.19$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…3170backed Yes | 20c | 586.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 28c | 501.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…26a4backed Yes | 31c | 361.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 16c | 357.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…a8d4backed Yes | 21c | 325$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 18c | 322$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…b7b4backed Yes | 16c | 316.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed Yes | 21c | 315.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…50c7backed Yes | 16c | 299.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 15c | 299.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 287.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…178fbacked Yes | 15c | 275.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 252.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Yes | 27c | 246.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 17c | 241.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 59c | 221.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 17c | 200.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 24c | 187.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed Yes | 24c | 182.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 177.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…daecbacked Yes | 11c | 140.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 138.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes | 21c | 136.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 15c | 130.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 21c | 130.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d1f1backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…1126backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…488bbacked Yes | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…e5d1backed Yes | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 18c | 113.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 13c | 113.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 20c | 108.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 19c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…1633backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 96.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…c502backed Yes | 21c | 95.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed Yes | 18c | 84.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c2a3backed Yes | 28c | 77.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…afbebacked Yes | 29c | 76.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…ec5abacked Yes | 21c | 71.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 29c | 69.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked Yes | 45c | 66.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 60.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 26c | 51.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…b943backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 79c | 49.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…bb54backed Yes | 26c | 45.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…350ebacked No | 61c | 37.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed No | 77c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.