TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec48…0bd6backed Yes73c5,527$4,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.38475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403d…bf79backed No1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No24c2,843$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No26c1,088$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.687439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x665c…307bbacked No37c977$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70e7…4a70backed Yes13c966$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+166.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9859…0176backed Yes13c798$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.26333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+156.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31f…df2ebacked Yes72c653.44$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…04a9backed Yes62c641.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.662236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ea…3454backed No38c566.98$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095b…25cabacked No28c503.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5150%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes61c433.28$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.988164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes63c424.25$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9711255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No26c419.16$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.224751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f2…90d7backed Yes13c411$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+124.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes71c410$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.61520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb61…d89abacked No36c384.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Yes78c383.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.773100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked No24c379.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.081735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f24…2b45backed No37c368.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcd…c0f2backed Yes60c360$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.421080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes70c357.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0620650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cf…f9bcbacked No31c342$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa648…fb47backed No31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No24c317.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.938535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked No22c306.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.585158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2b3a…610abacked No24c299.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffa6…4bbebacked Yes65c269.95$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0747…7e76backed Yes75c267.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe21…65e5backed No38c264.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x991b…f19abacked Yes76c263.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.191346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked No36c260.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.93557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe86…d051backed No40c240.73$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes72c222.72$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.721560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes70c205.15$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.096230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Yes72c199.98$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e0b…7421backed No34c198.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea54…ce3dbacked No31c193.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb82…69adbacked Yes49c186.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.07714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02dc…a212backed Yes70c185.65$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb963…bd22backed Yes55c182.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.34560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7034…bcf8backed No60c174.24$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.281050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes71c166.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes63c164.76$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.492744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed No28c158.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.54137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8a…15c1backed Yes73c155.71$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes69c154.59$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.133655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6935…6d0abacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes47c146.15$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.249744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad1…8151backed No34c146.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5945…727abacked Yes69c145.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.73560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2730…5eacbacked Yes71c140.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb294…0e2bbacked Yes72c139.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…6b99backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa12b…847cbacked Yes74c134.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-66.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab80…488fbacked No33c133.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.37520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-69.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcd…baebbacked No31c127.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.92050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ff…b32bbacked No29c123.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed No30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0d…0d85backed No31c112.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4957…f25ebacked Yes72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.111118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2375…dd3abacked Yes74c101.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.692050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed No55c100.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e1…0e5bbacked No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…faeabacked Yes72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d47…4045backed No31c97.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe9…71f3backed No31c95.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa5…8f79backed No28c90.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…2f57backed No28c87.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No24c87.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214671.7%33 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed No30c82.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked No29c79.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…87b5backed No34c73.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No28c72.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.738047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7169…3f14backed Yes71c72.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5f…45b8backed Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41db…1536backed Yes74c67.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.273948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd2f…7e70backed Yes74c66.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.462035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb974…2dc5backed Yes77c65.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes79c61.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.162025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d1…90fcbacked No32c61.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed Yes77c58.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…a18bbacked No34c58.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…d8d1backed Yes70c56.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ed…310ebacked Yes71c56.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…9674backed Yes70c55.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe426…8aa1backed Yes75c53.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No39c50.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.325679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53650%18 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No28c47.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3210731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes73c46.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6724352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No51c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.462369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58e6…9154backed No33c45.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.