NFL · resolved market
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c7496fd549af89ad9093524b3165f1c78b03dbd17b1c50f27d8e7a4576ff5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ea…3454backed Yes | 28c | 765.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…ae90backed Yes | 46c | 326$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…4a35backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…fc5cbacked Yes | 12c | 131.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba0…181abacked Yes | 45c | 110.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…8a1fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…1f6dbacked Yes | 23c | 80.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 51.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "NUEVAYOL" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will "DÁKITI" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "I Like It" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "LA CANCIÓN" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "LA MUDANZA" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "La Jumpa" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.