Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x925711da5ea477e25b904fdae1c1d35e7a08795b7723ab7cd3d90e84484cd635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 23c | 40,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 77c | 39,777$30,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,259.85 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 20c | 2,575$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 1,795$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 22c | 999.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 747.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 23c | 216.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 77c | 201.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 80c | 188.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 80c | 163.3$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Yes | 80c | 156.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 23c | 155.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 149.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 35c | 128$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Yes | 79c | 126.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 76c | 106.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 20c | 89.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 76c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Yes | 77c | 66.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 25c | 63.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 78c | 60.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…bf63backed Yes | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 80c | 39.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 74c | 26.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…04cebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…f2fabacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7b0cbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…16f2backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…dc60backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac0…30c2backed Yes | 79c | 16.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…e0fdbacked Yes | 79c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…1537backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will Colombia vs. New Zealand end in a draw?No won
- Will New Zealand win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.