World Politics · resolved market
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbddb91830ef5d16ab6d4282d58fda2df4886f5978e476399b40040b786e526fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $619,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $564,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $619,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 14,664$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,810$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…4774backed Yes | 4c | 4,424$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…93bebacked Yes | 6c | 3,762$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6830…d484backed Yes | 4c | 3,689$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Yes | 2c | 3,611$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…c62abacked Yes | 4c | 3,482$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…d248backed Yes | 4c | 3,393$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…c31cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,374$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…bf5ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,322$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…4d34backed Yes | 4c | 3,165$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ea…206cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,124$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +350.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes | 6c | 3,058$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…f91bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,900$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a7…7dc5backed Yes | 4c | 2,801$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0985…f3f8backed Yes | 4c | 2,720$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…8c40backed Yes | 4c | 2,661$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…9135backed Yes | 4c | 2,640$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3897…ea4bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,633$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…0d45backed Yes | 4c | 2,583$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be3…a4cabacked Yes | 4c | 2,483$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…5f56backed Yes | 4c | 2,435$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…a7bebacked Yes | 4c | 2,375$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c1babacked Yes | 4c | 2,350$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ac…5bc0backed Yes | 4c | 2,317$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…a1c0backed Yes | 4c | 2,316$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…59bfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,288$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b53…99f4backed Yes | 10c | 2,282$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…ceedbacked Yes | 4c | 2,269$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…93debacked Yes | 6c | 2,240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…05f8backed Yes | 4c | 2,123$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…76a5backed Yes | 4c | 2,091$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…f375backed Yes | 4c | 2,084$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…214dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,960$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f5…878dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,947$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…d1a5backed Yes | 4c | 1,922$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…9009backed Yes | 4c | 1,909$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…27dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,882$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…fe54backed Yes | 4c | 1,881$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…ff54backed Yes | 5c | 1,859$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…fd1ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,845$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1b…2031backed Yes | 6c | 1,807$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb37…4338backed Yes | 4c | 1,783$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…4aa6backed Yes | 4c | 1,774$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…9cf4backed Yes | 6c | 1,754$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b29bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,749$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +777.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…276cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,719$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…4b1dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,712$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,711$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…05cbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,707$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…38a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,695$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…84fcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,621$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…03c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,586$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…ac5dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,581$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…3f89backed Yes | 4c | 1,552$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b09…f612backed Yes | 4c | 1,544$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…03b5backed Yes | 4c | 1,535$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…c02bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,507$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…1032backed Yes | 4c | 1,490$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…6aaebacked Yes | 4c | 1,458$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…2157backed Yes | 4c | 1,439$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…824bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,412$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…18cabacked Yes | 4c | 1,386$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +420.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…1d4ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,371$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…1639backed Yes | 4c | 1,368$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…8a77backed Yes | 4c | 1,362$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…be49backed Yes | 4c | 1,350$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…2d8fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…99afbacked Yes | 4c | 1,341$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…3858backed Yes | 4c | 1,323$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 8c | 1,318$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…6c4ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,317$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,311$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…cd4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,307$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…9941backed Yes | 4c | 1,295$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…4964backed Yes | 4c | 1,294$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +449.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,293$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…f562backed Yes | 4c | 1,290$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8881…9a2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,276$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…e0a2backed Yes | 4c | 1,270$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…7765backed Yes | 4c | 1,262$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e17…4e55backed Yes | 4c | 1,260$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…2cfbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,239$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…d1d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,207$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…f054backed Yes | 4c | 1,196$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…a7eebacked Yes | 4c | 1,192$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b3…33b6backed Yes | 5c | 1,163$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf667…2c66backed Yes | 4c | 1,162$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…675dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,133$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…9f4bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,094$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…b31ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,085$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…f2e7backed Yes | 4c | 1,061$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 1,037$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…7e09backed Yes | 4c | 1,030$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…fbaebacked Yes | 4c | 1,023$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,022$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…2999backed Yes | 4c | 1,015$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 5c | 999.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?this page
- Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Yes won
- Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.