Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc160ac2b2b5f9a500cc4893611c65e45f50c4b8dbd204a2e8675329261373b0a

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9733…f034backed Yes	73c	21,577$15,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,777.36	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked No	1c	5,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	15cpaid	+415.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	4c	4,675$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.18	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	2c	4,620$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.97	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1824…fda1backed No	6c	2,509$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No	11c	2,279$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.43	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	13c	2,105$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.22	155	58.7%91 W · 64 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	0%0 W · 110 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked No	26c	1,929$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.79	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked No	30c	1,859$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.62	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe7…f415backed No	26c	1,477$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	3c	1,300$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.86	193	15.5%30 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	4c	1,219$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.93	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	23c	1,156$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.81	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-71%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed No	3c	1,101$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.82	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-78%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes	73c	1,095$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.97	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed No	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.86	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed No	2c	902.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No	26c	830.11$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.59	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed Yes	77c	756.93$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.55	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	14c	736.31$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.73	399	52.4%209 W · 190 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa446…754ebacked No	58c	712.9$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.48	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fc…900ebacked No	28c	709.99$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.3	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No	3c	683.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	211	7.1%15 W · 196 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No	28c	651.76$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8d…71eebacked Yes	79c	600$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.75	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+43%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked No	34c	582.04$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+8.1wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No	28c	557.36$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked No	7c	536.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No	4c	499.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	254	3.5%9 W · 245 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No	4c	484.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed No	5c	462.25$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf937…53a1backed No	23c	450$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed No	27c	431.63$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.15	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked No	25c	385.01$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.07	150	22.7%34 W · 116 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+43%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfae3…5228backed No	29c	384.93$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.79	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+259.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	11c	374.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.22	183	48.6%89 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No	21c	373.74$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.41	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No	7c	371.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.23	140	27.9%39 W · 101 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	24c	355.46$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.38	241	10.8%26 W · 215 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No	27c	345$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.28	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ba…9d46backed No	28c	307.51$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a9…323abacked Yes	77c	305.76$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked No	3c	302.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes	73c	291$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.73	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	20c	270$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	25c	269.83$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.02	260	52.3%136 W · 124 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaaf…f2bdbacked No	26c	253.79$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	32c	245.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.68	322	55%177 W · 145 L	+14.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d9…7f44backed Yes	77c	233.19$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.97	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	73c	215.8$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.83	70	17.1%12 W · 58 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.31	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…77bdbacked No	15c	200$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fa…f447backed No	28c	178.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	16c	177.39$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.33	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xae5e…4046backed No	28c	161.67$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	9c	160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5408…0466backed Yes	73c	160$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	15c	157$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed No	30c	155.28$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-62%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbca…6244backed Yes	77c	152.47$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.34	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	187	62.6%117 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	19c	150$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	200	65%130 W · 70 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	153	56.2%86 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	26c	138.61$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.71	65	30.8%20 W · 45 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No	26c	137.6$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.78	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked No	27c	124.82$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.86	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	14c	123.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	394	14%55 W · 339 L	-71.9wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x62f2…66eebacked No	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	25c	110.44$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	263	55.9%147 W · 116 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed5…f2e7backed No	27c	110.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed No	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…6b2bbacked Yes	79c	99.95$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked No	31c	97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…8cd9backed No	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+166.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No	21c	90$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	156	50%78 W · 78 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	25c	68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.86	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	22c	67.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf08…cf97backed No	33c	59.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd98d…1179backed No	28c	56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1426…ed4abacked No	27c	55.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes	73c	54$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.43	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb404…3283backed Yes	77c	51.85$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2a…a91fbacked Yes	49c	51.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd5…a9fbbacked No	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcec…3793backed No	26c	43.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	27c	42.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	990	17.2%170 W · 820 L	-148.8wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xca23…f403backed No	27c	40.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	71c	40.2$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.82	150	76%114 W · 36 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	74cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	29c	38.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	182	46.2%84 W · 98 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…c93abacked Yes	75c	30.24$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x185f…14f5backed Yes	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fee…c80bbacked Yes	77c	22.21$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b6…7458backed Yes	75c	20.12$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.03	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked Yes	68c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.85	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf24…a5f3backed Yes	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+71.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?this page
Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event