World Politics · resolved market
Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9e1f6eaad809a6ceb725d6afb29fe533a037abaaf91051360e6a478b22aba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,193,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1686…9d13backed Yes | 0c | 13,161$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243e…0ff9backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…3ba2backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…2cadbacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…3b96backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…7ff3backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…ce27backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…b669backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…e744backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…36a8backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…ee56backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…3652backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…c260backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…1ec3backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…36e2backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…3b34backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bd…47cbbacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…2da9backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…8fd5backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5075backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…30e6backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…b2cebacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…ffaabacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…e176backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…16adbacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be7…a722backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…a9adbacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5f59backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…ac5fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f3…a924backed Yes | 0c | 13,065$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4857…f1cabacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…125fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…b5bdbacked Yes | 0c | 13,065$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…0cb7backed Yes | 0c | 12,999$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…1c71backed Yes | 0c | 12,920$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4104backed Yes | 0c | 12,920$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…380cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,797$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…ff71backed Yes | 0c | 12,795$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…8345backed Yes | 0c | 12,756$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…9ec0backed Yes | 0c | 12,754$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…fa56backed Yes | 0c | 12,754$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…f79ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,750$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…1b91backed Yes | 0c | 12,750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…ebc9backed Yes | 0c | 12,730$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…4909backed Yes | 0c | 12,730$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…0483backed Yes | 0c | 12,728$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…9a67backed Yes | 0c | 12,728$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…1d7dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,728$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…dca4backed Yes | 0c | 12,728$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…f420backed Yes | 0c | 12,728$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1852backed Yes | 0c | 12,728$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…ac8ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,701$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…7862backed Yes | 0c | 12,690$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…3838backed Yes | 0c | 12,690$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c7…52fabacked Yes | 0c | 12,690$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4b6cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,690$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…9799backed Yes | 0c | 12,690$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…2836backed Yes | 0c | 12,690$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…ffcfbacked Yes | 0c | 12,690$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…c189backed Yes | 0c | 12,690$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8197…5447backed Yes | 0c | 12,690$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9a…7a4cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,690$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…785fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,687$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…1562backed Yes | 0c | 12,637$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…0c31backed Yes | 0c | 12,637$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5376…22fcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,637$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5928backed Yes | 0c | 12,637$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…b337backed Yes | 0c | 12,637$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…c9fabacked Yes | 0c | 12,637$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…3460backed Yes | 0c | 12,637$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2215…5f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,637$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…a2ffbacked Yes | 0c | 12,518$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ab…ecb0backed Yes | 0c | 12,490$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…7bcabacked Yes | 0c | 12,447$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…fd9ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,447$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…d1fabacked Yes | 0c | 12,447$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…7a46backed Yes | 0c | 12,268$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…5edebacked Yes | 0c | 12,268$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…3d32backed Yes | 0c | 12,268$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…ec3fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,211$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6c…4bc5backed Yes | 0c | 12,177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…453cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…c452backed Yes | 0c | 11,780$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de0…a0e3backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…a3cfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…a103backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…cbbfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…1788backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…80fabacked Yes | 0c | 8,714$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19f…773abacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?this page
- Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Yes won
- Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
- Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.