Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Sachia Vickery vs Cadence Brace
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c63c6982c3c11739b17d1fec589724b688382923f8933ebaf99b8c22a77565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Braceof Vickery, Brace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Vickery | 28c | 1,939$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.34 | 1,988 | 46.1%917 W · 1,071 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Brace | 78c | 1,667$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vickery | 24c | 1,521$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.26 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Brace | 72c | 1,400$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.98 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vickery | 26c | 788.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Vickery | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Vickery | 29c | 457.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Brace | 70c | 454.29$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Brace | 5c | 448.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Vickery | 24c | 386.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brace | 71c | 319.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Brace | 73c | 316.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Brace | 78c | 315.31$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Brace | 73c | 309$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 993 | 56%556 W · 437 L | +33.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Vickery | 28c | 254$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Brace | 80c | 251.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Brace | 72c | 234$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Vickery | 20c | 232.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Vickery | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vickery | 23c | 164.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Vickery | 14c | 159.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Vickery | 25c | 133.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Brace | 75c | 100.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brace | 75c | 88.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…630ebacked Vickery | 26c | 85.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Brace | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Brace | 72c | 76.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Brace | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be1…2670backed Vickery | 26c | 56.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Brace | 72c | 54.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Vickery | 24c | 47.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Brace | 72c | 41.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brace | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Brace | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Brace | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed Brace | 72c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Brace | 71c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Brace | 69c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.