TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2be1…2670

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick21cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.45
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+329.9%+$56.53
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.44
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.88
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.17
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.11
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merida Open Akron: Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Busebacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.5%+$11.94
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Katrina Scottbacked Scott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Sachia Vickery vs Cadence Bracebacked Vickery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
ATX Open, Qualification: Emily Appleton vs Louisa Chiricobacked Chirico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+87.1%+$8.87
Les Sables d'Olonne: Fiona Ferro vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Les Sables d'Olonne: Alina Korneeva vs Dominika Salkovabacked Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+138.8%+$14.22
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+247.1%+$48.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Longwood Lancers vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+189.7%+$20.78
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.