Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08bcbc9572a02161c173799901e7e584296a0395ed897c4a35e79dea86cff92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 59c | 86,584$51,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,499.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 46,161$19,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,424 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 42,900$22,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,633.05 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 42c | 41,500$17,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,095.92 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 58c | 26,776$15,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,245.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 41c | 19,054$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,874.64 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 41c | 16,736$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,861.76 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 57c | 12,516$7,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,381.84 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 11,489$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.62 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.99 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 44c | 9,870$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.09 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 47c | 7,600$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 7,183$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.71 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 6,896$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.37 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 5,953$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.22 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 5,520$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 41c | 3,579$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.64 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 41c | 3,333$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.53 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 59c | 2,250$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.5 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked No | 44c | 2,075$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 59c | 1,790$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.33 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 42c | 1,615$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 1,176$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.34 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,100$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.65 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 1,023$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.24 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 43c | 923.1$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.62 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 43c | 899$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.57 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 46c | 804.35$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 44c | 687.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.27 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 661.36$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 45c | 599.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 588.03$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.23 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 527.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 67c | 488.48$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.58 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 56c | 453.12$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 44c | 417.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 44c | 392.11$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 44c | 367.59$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 51c | 364.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 40c | 346.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 60c | 333.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…e49cbacked No | 36c | 320.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 51c | 292$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked No | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 53c | 270$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 44c | 260$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 256.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5994…252dbacked Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 53c | 225$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Yes | 76c | 220$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Yes | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 186.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 44c | 181$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 54c | 178.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 47c | 170.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 167.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 52c | 164.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 39c | 158.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 63c | 156.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef8…de64backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d3…c5debacked Yes | 45c | 149.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 44c | 146.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 47c | 135.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 69c | 132.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 129.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 52c | 129.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.